Thursday, 16 November 2017

new BTC predictons

$10k - 15th December 2017
$20k - 15th March 2018
$40k - 10th June 2018
$80k - 30th September  2018

Tuesday, 17 October 2017

$23000 BTC by end Feb 2018

cos my last prediction was wrong by a lot  ($1700 by December) ..... currently $5500 on Oct 16th

so this one is ambitious

Friday, 6 January 2017

$1700 per btc by Dec 2017

I predict $1700 by December 2017

it mainly depends on what happens in China.

Yesterday chinese goverment advised people not to think carefully before gambling on crypto currencies ... hence the drop ... seems like people listen to government advice there.   But my guess is they will think about it.. realise bitcoin is gold2.0 and come storming back ..

or another guess is that Stuart made me buy 2 bitcoins at 1000usd each, and that triggered the price drop (according to him) 

long term trend is pretty clear.. might drop down to about $830  before resuming upwards climb ......  https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/bitstamp/btcusd  

really though, what are people going to do as they lose faith in Government currencies around the world ?

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Sunday, 26 June 2016

#Bre-entry

Not much point making a prediction if you don't write it down and check back on it later.

So here is mine.

The powers that be don't like Brexit. They are looking for a way around it. I suspect they will use a general election to get another referendum.

In 2015, the Conservatives became the UK government with 36.9% of the vote on a turnout of 66.4%.  So just under 24% of those eligible to vote chose the current government.

As there is no box on the ballot for 'no government', I did not vote and was part of the 33.6% who for one reason or another did the same. This is more than the Labour party got. Where is my representation? But I got a little sidetracked.

So, both main parties are about to change leaders. I predict at least one of them will choose a pro-EU candidate who promises to hold a new referendum if elected. This will effectively turn the next general election in to a second EU referendum. If they win with a mere 24% vote from the eligible voters, then bingo, bango, bongo it's referendum number two, and this time it is irreversible.

On a side note. The Scots hold the balance of power in the UK. As long as they are voting for the SNP, then the UK will have a Conservative government. If Scotland secedes, the remainder of the UK will have a Conservative government.


Saturday, 25 June 2016

Is the EU more racist than a post-Brexit UK?

The implication of many people who voted Remain is that if you chose Brexit, it is somehow racist.

The European Union is an organisation that allows for free movement of people who are citizens of the member countries of the EU.  For people who are NOT from EU countries they have limited visas and lots of hoops to jump through if they want to visit or live in an EU country.

The EU is made up of countries mainly populated by white people. In many non-EU countries, whites are a tiny minority. EU citizenship is a very good proxy for colour.

So it means that the EU is an organisation that specifically allows people who are most likely to be white to live where they like while at the same time restricting that freedom to people who are not likely to be white.

Seems pretty racist to me.

If the UK government at some point sets up a points system which scores applicants according to some measure of how likely they are to be a benefit to the UK, it might be colour-blind. The EU system discriminates on a very close proxy for colour, while at the same time having a bunch of laws that do not allow discrimination based on abilities.

Audio version